Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.0% vs Malkin 48.7% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 63.9%
Defensive zone
McDavid 62.4%
Neutral zone
McDavid 51.9%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
McDavid
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
McDavid
Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McDavid
Malkin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (803)
47.9% (776)
+3.7%
Power Play
50.0% (40)
66.7% (24)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (22)
100.0% (1)
-63.6%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +63.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. McDavid is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (616).
McDavid shoots left. Malkin is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (541).
Home / Away
McDavid
Malkin
Home
51.8% (415)
49.6% (405)
Away
50.4% (450)
47.5% (396)
By Period
McDavid
Malkin
P1
47.5%
49.6%
P2
51.6%
47.2%
P3
55.5%
48.5%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.1%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2024 | 2 | 05:55 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 2 | 02:57 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |