Connor McDavid vs Evgeni Malkin
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.8% vs Malkin 45.9% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
McDavid leads 12-10 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 55.9%
Defensive zone
McDavid 67.5%
Neutral zone
McDavid 57.7%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 58.0%
58.0%
42.0%
McDavid
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
10
(22 meetings)
12
10
McDavid
Malkin
Last 10: McDavid 6-4 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
5
1
McDavid
Malkin
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
3
6
McDavid
Malkin
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
4
3
McDavid
Malkin
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (8,358)
45.6% (10,081)
+2.1%
Power Play
52.0% (371)
50.1% (668)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (279)
32.2% (59)
+11.2%
On penalty kill, McDavid has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. McDavid is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,903).
McDavid shoots left. Malkin is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,274).
Home / Away
McDavid
Malkin
Home
49.3% (4,570)
47.6% (5,395)
Away
46.1% (4,438)
44.0% (5,436)
By Period
McDavid
Malkin
P1
46.5%
45.9%
P2
48.7%
46.2%
P3
48.3%
45.2%
OT
40.9%
49.0%
Final 5 min
50.1%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2024 | 3 | 02:29 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 2 | 05:55 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 2 | 02:57 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 13:04 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 3 | 01:41 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 3 | 02:08 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 20, 2019 | 3 | 16:24 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 20, 2019 | 3 | 16:16 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 20, 2019 | 3 | 11:56 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 20, 2019 | 3 | 11:46 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 20, 2019 | 3 | 02:37 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 20, 2019 | 1 | 16:28 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 20, 2019 | 1 | 13:52 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 20, 2019 | 1 | 08:10 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 20, 2019 | 1 | 06:08 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 20, 2019 | 1 | 03:30 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 20, 2019 | 1 | 02:54 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 20, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 23, 2018 | 2 | 19:05 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 10, 2017 | 2 | 16:19 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |