Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 53.4% vs Malkin 45.0% (+10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 59.8%
Defensive zone
McDavid 76.3%
Neutral zone
McDavid 69.4%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 59.8%
59.8%
40.2%
McDavid
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
McDavid
Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Malkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (1,002)
44.0% (366)
+10.3%
Power Play
44.8% (29)
30.0% (10)
+14.8%
On power play, McDavid has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. McDavid is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (679).
McDavid shoots left. Malkin is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (248).
Home / Away
McDavid
Malkin
Home
53.6% (507)
45.5% (202)
Away
53.8% (539)
41.4% (174)
By Period
McDavid
Malkin
P1
52.6%
48.4%
P2
54.1%
41.7%
P3
54.9%
40.4%
OT
44.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.7%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
43.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2022 | 3 | 02:08 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |