Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.8% vs Malkin 49.4% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 51.1%
Defensive zone
McDavid 86.5%
Neutral zone
McDavid 70.1%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 67.7%
67.7%
32.3%
McDavid
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
McDavid
Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Malkin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Malkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (889)
49.0% (811)
+2.5%
Power Play
63.9% (36)
55.8% (43)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (86)
50.0% (2)
+1.2%
On power play, McDavid has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. McDavid is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
McDavid shoots left. Malkin is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (568).
Home / Away
McDavid
Malkin
Home
50.7% (513)
52.3% (438)
Away
53.2% (498)
46.2% (418)
By Period
McDavid
Malkin
P1
52.3%
51.3%
P2
51.6%
50.8%
P3
51.7%
45.0%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.5%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.9%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 13:04 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 3 | 01:41 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |