Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.9% vs Malkin 46.1% (+3.1%)
Offensive zone
Malkin 58.1%
Defensive zone
McDavid 59.2%
Neutral zone
McDavid 53.0%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
McDavid
Malkin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (650)
45.7% (219)
+1.8%
Power Play
48.6% (72)
34.6% (26)
+14.0%
On power play, McDavid has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. McDavid is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (554).
McDavid shoots left. Malkin is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (177).
Home / Away
McDavid
Malkin
Home
50.2% (400)
50.4% (113)
Away
44.7% (365)
39.4% (132)
By Period
McDavid
Malkin
P1
47.5%
47.7%
P2
48.6%
44.9%
P3
46.7%
40.0%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.3%
35.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.6%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
44.5%