Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.9% vs Malkin 46.4% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 62.1%
Defensive zone
McDavid 53.2%
Neutral zone
Malkin 57.9%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 62.1%
37.9%
62.1%
McDavid
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
McDavid
Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
0
1
McDavid
Malkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (715)
45.5% (602)
+2.2%
Power Play
51.9% (52)
50.0% (30)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
100.0% (1)
-77.8%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +77.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. McDavid is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (494).
McDavid shoots left. Malkin is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (431).
Home / Away
McDavid
Malkin
Home
47.3% (387)
47.5% (326)
Away
48.1% (389)
44.0% (307)
By Period
McDavid
Malkin
P1
47.6%
49.3%
P2
50.0%
44.7%
P3
45.0%
42.3%
Final 5 min
46.8%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2024 | 3 | 02:29 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |