Connor McDavid vs Frederick Gaudreau
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 53.4% vs Gaudreau 50.0% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 86.3%
Defensive zone
McDavid 69.1%
Neutral zone
McDavid 71.8%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 80.5%
80.5%
19.5%
McDavid
Gaudreau
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
McDavid
Gaudreau
Last 5: McDavid 5-0 Gaudreau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
3
0
McDavid
Gaudreau
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
0
McDavid
Gaudreau
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Gaudreau
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (1,002)
49.1% (733)
+5.2%
Power Play
44.8% (29)
60.0% (80)
-15.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
48.6% (109)
-15.3%
On penalty kill, Gaudreau has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaudreau shoots right. McDavid is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (367).
McDavid shoots left. Gaudreau is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (638).
Home / Away
McDavid
Gaudreau
Home
53.6% (507)
53.0% (483)
Away
53.8% (539)
46.7% (439)
By Period
McDavid
Gaudreau
P1
52.6%
53.5%
P2
54.1%
47.5%
P3
54.9%
49.5%
OT
44.4%
37.5%
Final 5 min
52.2%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.7%
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2022 | 2 | 01:51 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 1 | 18:02 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 1 | 17:50 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 1 | 13:38 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 1 | 05:21 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |