Connor McDavid vs Frederick Gaudreau
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.7% vs 48.2%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.9% vs Gaudreau 48.4% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 71.6%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 66.8%
Neutral zone
McDavid 50.6%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 57.6%
57.6%
42.4%
McDavid
Gaudreau
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
McDavid
Gaudreau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Gaudreau
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
0
McDavid
Gaudreau
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Gaudreau
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (715)
49.2% (858)
-1.5%
Power Play
51.9% (52)
39.0% (41)
+12.9%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
46.0% (198)
-23.8%
On penalty kill, Gaudreau has a +23.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaudreau shoots right. McDavid is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (282).
McDavid shoots left. Gaudreau is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (819).
Home / Away
McDavid
Gaudreau
Home
47.3% (387)
47.1% (546)
Away
48.1% (389)
49.4% (551)
By Period
McDavid
Gaudreau
P1
47.6%
46.8%
P2
50.0%
46.8%
P3
45.0%
51.1%
Final 5 min
46.8%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2025 | 1 | 16:11 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 19:16 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 2 | 14:25 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |