Connor McDavid vs Frederick Gaudreau
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.0% vs Gaudreau 49.9% (+1.2%)
Offensive zone
McDavid 72.5%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 69.8%
Neutral zone
McDavid 51.9%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
McDavid
Gaudreau
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Gaudreau
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (803)
49.0% (408)
+2.6%
Power Play
50.0% (40)
68.0% (25)
-18.0%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (22)
49.1% (114)
-12.7%
On power play, Gaudreau has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaudreau shoots right. McDavid is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (249).
McDavid shoots left. Gaudreau is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (417).
Home / Away
McDavid
Gaudreau
Home
51.8% (415)
50.8% (319)
Away
50.4% (450)
48.7% (228)
By Period
McDavid
Gaudreau
P1
47.5%
53.4%
P2
51.6%
47.4%
P3
55.5%
50.0%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.1%
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
49.9%