Connor McDavid vs Frederick Gaudreau
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — Gaudreau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.8% vs Gaudreau 49.3% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 52.6%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 61.8%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 55.0%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 61.8%
38.2%
61.8%
McDavid
Gaudreau
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
McDavid
Gaudreau
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
0
1
McDavid
Gaudreau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Gaudreau
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (889)
48.4% (770)
+3.1%
Power Play
63.9% (36)
58.7% (46)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (86)
50.3% (199)
+0.9%
On power play, McDavid has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaudreau shoots right. McDavid is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (357).
McDavid shoots left. Gaudreau is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (744).
Home / Away
McDavid
Gaudreau
Home
50.7% (513)
51.1% (507)
Away
53.2% (498)
47.4% (508)
By Period
McDavid
Gaudreau
P1
52.3%
49.4%
P2
51.6%
47.4%
P3
51.7%
51.2%
OT
100.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
56.5%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.9%
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2022 | 3 | 02:31 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |