Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). McDavid wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Benn shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 53.4% vs Benn 54.7% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
McDavid leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 52.1%
Defensive zone
Benn 52.5%
Neutral zone
Benn 51.6%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
McDavid
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
7
(16 meetings)
9
7
McDavid
Benn
Last 10: McDavid 6-4 Benn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
1
2
McDavid
Benn
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
3
1
McDavid
Benn
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
5
4
McDavid
Benn
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (1,002)
55.3% (709)
-1.0%
Power Play
44.8% (29)
58.3% (127)
-13.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
47.3% (55)
-14.0%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. McDavid is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (679).
McDavid shoots left. Benn is 58.4% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Home / Away
McDavid
Benn
Home
53.6% (507)
56.2% (443)
Away
53.8% (539)
54.2% (448)
By Period
McDavid
Benn
P1
52.6%
55.4%
P2
54.1%
54.1%
P3
54.9%
55.6%
OT
44.4%
71.4%
Final 5 min
52.2%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.7%
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2022 | 2 | 17:23 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 20, 2022 | 1 | 02:31 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 20, 2022 | 1 | 02:23 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 09:37 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 06:57 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 03:39 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 09:17 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 06:37 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 23, 2021 | 3 | 08:56 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 23, 2021 | 3 | 08:49 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 23, 2021 | 2 | 06:15 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 23, 2021 | 2 | 01:01 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 23, 2021 | 1 | 18:58 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 23, 2021 | 1 | 06:47 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 23, 2021 | 1 | 04:12 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 23, 2021 | 1 | 04:04 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |