Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.6% vs 47.5%). McDavid wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Benn shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.9% vs Benn 48.9% (+0.1%)
Offensive zone
Benn 54.3%
Defensive zone
McDavid 60.5%
Neutral zone
McDavid 56.9%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
McDavid
Benn
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (650)
44.3% (61)
+3.2%
Power Play
48.6% (72)
58.8% (17)
-10.2%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (43)
50.0% (2)
-3.5%
On power play, Benn has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. McDavid is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (554).
McDavid shoots left. Benn is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (44).
Home / Away
McDavid
Benn
Home
50.2% (400)
47.4% (38)
Away
44.7% (365)
47.6% (42)
By Period
McDavid
Benn
P1
47.5%
32.0%
P2
48.6%
67.9%
P3
46.7%
40.7%
Final 5 min
51.3%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.6%
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
47.5%