Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.8% vs Benn 59.1% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 62.6%
Defensive zone
McDavid 82.3%
Neutral zone
McDavid 68.8%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 75.7%
75.7%
24.3%
McDavid
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
McDavid
Benn
Last 8: McDavid 2-6 Benn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
0
2
McDavid
Benn
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Benn
2
3
McDavid
Benn
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
0
1
McDavid
Benn
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (889)
61.8% (584)
-10.3%
Power Play
63.9% (36)
56.7% (224)
+7.2%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (86)
56.1% (57)
-4.9%
On even strength, Benn has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. McDavid is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
McDavid shoots left. Benn is 64.7% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Home / Away
McDavid
Benn
Home
50.7% (513)
64.4% (433)
Away
53.2% (498)
55.8% (432)
By Period
McDavid
Benn
P1
52.3%
61.8%
P2
51.6%
59.6%
P3
51.7%
59.2%
OT
100.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
56.5%
62.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.9%
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
60.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 03:50 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 1 | 01:07 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 3 | 14:16 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 3 | 06:07 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 3 | 00:42 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 2 | 16:36 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 2 | 03:32 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 19:23 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |