Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.0% vs Benn 59.9% (-10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 50.2%
Defensive zone
McDavid 60.1%
Neutral zone
McDavid 50.6%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
McDavid
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
McDavid
Benn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
0
1
McDavid
Benn
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (803)
62.6% (479)
-11.0%
Power Play
50.0% (40)
58.4% (190)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (22)
58.1% (43)
-21.7%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +21.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. McDavid is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (616).
McDavid shoots left. Benn is 67.2% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Home / Away
McDavid
Benn
Home
51.8% (415)
60.5% (349)
Away
50.4% (450)
62.0% (363)
By Period
McDavid
Benn
P1
47.5%
60.8%
P2
51.6%
60.1%
P3
55.5%
62.4%
OT
50.0%
83.3%
Final 5 min
50.5%
62.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.1%
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
61.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2024 | 1 | 00:24 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |