Connor McDavid vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2015-16 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). McDavid wins 40.2% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 42.5% vs Pageau 52.0% (-11.0%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 15-1 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 93.6%
Defensive zone
McDavid 81.5%
Neutral zone
McDavid 86.6%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 86.0%
86.0%
14.0%
McDavid
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
15
(16 meetings)
1
15
McDavid
Pageau
Last 10: McDavid 1-9 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
3
McDavid
Pageau
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
6
McDavid
Pageau
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
6
McDavid
Pageau
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (578)
54.1% (882)
-13.4%
Power Play
56.3% (16)
45.0% (60)
+11.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
46.8% (235)
+3.2%
On even strength, Pageau has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. McDavid is 40.2% vs right-shot opponents (241).
McDavid shoots left. Pageau is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (845).
Home / Away
McDavid
Pageau
Home
42.7% (323)
54.7% (592)
Away
39.5% (281)
49.6% (585)
By Period
McDavid
Pageau
P1
42.3%
51.0%
P2
37.3%
54.3%
P3
43.4%
51.8%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
36.8%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
41.2%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2016 | 3 | 03:01 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 23, 2016 | 2 | 13:07 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 23, 2016 | 2 | 06:11 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 23, 2016 | 2 | 06:00 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 23, 2016 | 2 | 05:53 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 3 | 12:13 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 2 | 17:39 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 2 | 14:57 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 2 | 11:02 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 2 | 06:46 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 2 | 06:35 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 2 | 04:06 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 1 | 17:31 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 1 | 14:23 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 1 | 04:29 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 1 | 01:57 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |