Connor McDavid vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 53.4% vs Pageau 55.0% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 79.0%
Defensive zone
McDavid 59.3%
Neutral zone
McDavid 64.3%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 66.5%
66.5%
33.5%
McDavid
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
McDavid
Pageau
Last 10: McDavid 3-7 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
2
McDavid
Pageau
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
3
McDavid
Pageau
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
3
McDavid
Pageau
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (1,002)
55.8% (1,000)
-1.5%
Power Play
44.8% (29)
56.6% (182)
-11.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
51.2% (170)
-17.9%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. McDavid is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (367).
McDavid shoots left. Pageau is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (983).
Home / Away
McDavid
Pageau
Home
53.6% (507)
57.1% (674)
Away
53.8% (539)
53.5% (678)
By Period
McDavid
Pageau
P1
52.6%
56.9%
P2
54.1%
54.5%
P3
54.9%
54.7%
OT
44.4%
52.9%
Final 5 min
52.2%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.7%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2022 | 3 | 06:18 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 3 | 15:34 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 3 | 15:25 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 3 | 08:42 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 2 | 16:38 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 2 | 16:32 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 2 | 10:52 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 2 | 06:47 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 2 | 00:31 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 1 | 15:34 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 1 | 04:10 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |