Connor McDavid vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2018-19 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McDavid wins 46.4% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.0% vs Pageau 53.2% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 90.4%
Defensive zone
McDavid 75.7%
Neutral zone
McDavid 77.2%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 82.4%
82.4%
17.6%
McDavid
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
McDavid
Pageau
Last 7: McDavid 1-6 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
2
McDavid
Pageau
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
2
McDavid
Pageau
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
2
McDavid
Pageau
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (862)
54.9% (384)
-8.0%
Power Play
42.1% (38)
40.7% (27)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
52.9% (70)
-8.5%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. McDavid is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (330).
McDavid shoots left. Pageau is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (369).
Home / Away
McDavid
Pageau
Home
47.9% (478)
55.4% (222)
Away
45.2% (440)
52.5% (259)
By Period
McDavid
Pageau
P1
45.9%
55.3%
P2
47.7%
55.2%
P3
46.6%
51.1%
OT
33.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
47.2%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
46.6%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2019 | 2 | 14:29 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 2 | 04:25 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 1 | 08:50 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 28, 2019 | 2 | 18:02 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 28, 2019 | 2 | 12:42 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 28, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 28, 2019 | 1 | 12:37 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |