Connor McDavid vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2019-20 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 48.1% vs Pageau 53.2% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 64.2%
Defensive zone
Pageau 91.0%
Neutral zone
Pageau 75.0%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 69.6%
30.4%
69.6%
McDavid
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
McDavid
Pageau
Last 5: McDavid 4-1 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
4
0
McDavid
Pageau
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
1
McDavid
Pageau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (633)
53.5% (826)
-6.6%
Power Play
69.2% (26)
59.2% (120)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (11)
50.2% (203)
-4.7%
On power play, McDavid has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. McDavid is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (220).
McDavid shoots left. Pageau is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (796).
Home / Away
McDavid
Pageau
Home
49.9% (353)
55.7% (618)
Away
45.4% (317)
51.0% (531)
By Period
McDavid
Pageau
P1
46.6%
52.5%
P2
50.9%
56.1%
P3
45.9%
50.8%
OT
0.0%
61.3%
Final 5 min
50.4%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.8%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2019 | 3 | 18:38 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 4, 2019 | 3 | 16:49 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 4, 2019 | 3 | 16:34 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 4, 2019 | 3 | 15:12 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 4, 2019 | 1 | 11:13 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |