Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +16.3% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.8% vs Barzal 39.3% (+16.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 53.5%
Defensive zone
McDavid 86.6%
Neutral zone
McDavid 73.7%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 86.6%
86.6%
13.4%
McDavid
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
McDavid
Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Barzal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (889)
35.0% (283)
+16.5%
Power Play
63.9% (36)
55.6% (9)
+8.3%
On even strength, McDavid has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. McDavid is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (357).
McDavid shoots left. Barzal is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Home / Away
McDavid
Barzal
Home
50.7% (513)
37.0% (138)
Away
53.2% (498)
34.4% (154)
By Period
McDavid
Barzal
P1
52.3%
29.5%
P2
51.6%
44.5%
P3
51.7%
31.8%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.5%
39.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.9%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
35.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2023 | 2 | 15:35 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |