Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.9% vs Barzal 47.4% (+5.4%)
Offensive zone
McDavid 52.0%
Defensive zone
McDavid 67.0%
Neutral zone
McDavid 55.3%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 58.1%
58.1%
41.9%
McDavid
Barzal
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (715)
42.3% (52)
+5.4%
On even strength, McDavid has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. McDavid is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (282).
McDavid shoots left. Barzal is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (44).
Home / Away
McDavid
Barzal
Home
47.3% (387)
28.0% (25)
Away
48.1% (389)
55.6% (27)
By Period
McDavid
Barzal
P1
47.6%
47.4%
P2
50.0%
45.8%
P3
45.0%
22.2%
Final 5 min
46.8%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
42.3%