Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.0% vs Barzal 46.3% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 71.3%
Defensive zone
McDavid 74.7%
Neutral zone
McDavid 63.8%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 71.3%
71.3%
28.7%
McDavid
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
McDavid
Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Barzal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (803)
43.0% (114)
+8.6%
On even strength, McDavid has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. McDavid is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (249).
McDavid shoots left. Barzal is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (98).
Home / Away
McDavid
Barzal
Home
51.8% (415)
35.8% (53)
Away
50.4% (450)
49.2% (61)
By Period
McDavid
Barzal
P1
47.5%
44.2%
P2
51.6%
38.5%
P3
55.5%
46.9%
Final 5 min
50.5%
38.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.1%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2023 | 2 | 01:09 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |