Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.8% vs Duchene 52.1% (-1.0%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 71.2%
Defensive zone
McDavid 81.3%
Neutral zone
McDavid 52.6%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
McDavid
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (889)
53.9% (193)
-2.4%
Power Play
63.9% (36)
49.2% (65)
+14.7%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (86)
100.0% (1)
-48.8%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +48.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. McDavid is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
McDavid shoots left. Duchene is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
McDavid
Duchene
Home
50.7% (513)
54.9% (113)
Away
53.2% (498)
51.4% (146)
By Period
McDavid
Duchene
P1
52.3%
54.9%
P2
51.6%
52.7%
P3
51.7%
51.9%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.5%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.9%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.9%