Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on neutral-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). McDavid wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Suter shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 53.4% vs Suter 49.4% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 76.6%
Defensive zone
McDavid 59.6%
Neutral zone
McDavid 68.0%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 67.0%
67.0%
33.0%
McDavid
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
McDavid
Suter
Last 8: McDavid 5-3 Suter
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Suter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
4
3
McDavid
Suter
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (1,002)
49.8% (840)
+4.5%
Power Play
44.8% (29)
57.4% (68)
-12.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
39.6% (96)
-6.3%
On power play, Suter has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. McDavid is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (679).
McDavid shoots left. Suter is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (590).
Home / Away
McDavid
Suter
Home
53.6% (507)
49.8% (502)
Away
53.8% (539)
48.8% (502)
By Period
McDavid
Suter
P1
52.6%
46.7%
P2
54.1%
51.7%
P3
54.9%
48.9%
OT
44.4%
63.6%
Final 5 min
52.2%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.7%
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 02:18 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 16:12 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 3 | 15:31 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 3 | 06:52 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 2 | 11:59 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 1 | 19:46 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |