Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Suter shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.9% vs Suter 43.3% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suter 50.7%
Defensive zone
Suter 68.3%
Neutral zone
Suter 55.4%
Result
Pius Suter favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
McDavid
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
McDavid
Suter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suter
0
1
McDavid
Suter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (715)
42.4% (740)
+5.3%
Power Play
51.9% (52)
48.0% (75)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
37.3% (59)
-15.1%
On penalty kill, Suter has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. McDavid is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (494).
McDavid shoots left. Suter is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (565).
Home / Away
McDavid
Suter
Home
47.3% (387)
41.8% (407)
Away
48.1% (389)
43.3% (467)
By Period
McDavid
Suter
P1
47.6%
44.7%
P2
50.0%
41.5%
P3
45.0%
41.9%
Final 5 min
46.8%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 12:11 | Offensive | Pius Suter |