Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Suter on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.0% vs Suter 49.5% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suter 59.9%
Defensive zone
Suter 62.1%
Neutral zone
Suter 61.8%
Result
Pius Suter favored at 61.6%
38.4%
61.6%
McDavid
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
McDavid
Suter
Last 5: McDavid 0-5 Suter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suter
0
1
McDavid
Suter
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suter
0
3
McDavid
Suter
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suter
0
1
McDavid
Suter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (803)
47.2% (299)
+4.4%
Power Play
50.0% (40)
58.9% (56)
-8.9%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (22)
54.5% (22)
-18.1%
On penalty kill, Suter has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. McDavid is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (616).
McDavid shoots left. Suter is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (251).
Home / Away
McDavid
Suter
Home
51.8% (415)
51.7% (172)
Away
50.4% (450)
47.3% (205)
By Period
McDavid
Suter
P1
47.5%
48.2%
P2
51.6%
49.3%
P3
55.5%
51.2%
OT
50.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.1%
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2023 | 2 | 19:31 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 1 | 11:53 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 01:10 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 00:24 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 3 | 07:13 | Defensive | Pius Suter |