Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.8% vs Suter 47.4% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 50.7%
Defensive zone
McDavid 50.9%
Neutral zone
McDavid 51.3%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
McDavid
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
McDavid
Suter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Suter
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suter
0
1
McDavid
Suter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (889)
48.0% (421)
+3.5%
Power Play
63.9% (36)
50.0% (4)
+13.9%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (86)
31.3% (32)
+19.9%
On penalty kill, McDavid has a +19.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. McDavid is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
McDavid shoots left. Suter is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
McDavid
Suter
Home
50.7% (513)
48.6% (183)
Away
53.2% (498)
45.6% (274)
By Period
McDavid
Suter
P1
52.3%
47.1%
P2
51.6%
47.3%
P3
51.7%
46.1%
Final 5 min
56.5%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.9%
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2023 | 2 | 09:51 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 1 | 12:34 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |