Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.6% vs 48.2%). McDavid wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Suter shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.9% vs Suter 48.6% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 68.2%
Defensive zone
Suter 63.3%
Neutral zone
Suter 55.5%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
McDavid
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
McDavid
Suter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Suter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Suter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (650)
50.1% (357)
-2.6%
Power Play
48.6% (72)
43.8% (16)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (43)
40.5% (79)
+6.0%
On penalty kill, McDavid has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. McDavid is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (554).
McDavid shoots left. Suter is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (293).
Home / Away
McDavid
Suter
Home
50.2% (400)
48.0% (223)
Away
44.7% (365)
48.5% (229)
By Period
McDavid
Suter
P1
47.5%
48.9%
P2
48.6%
47.3%
P3
46.7%
49.7%
OT
33.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
51.3%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.6%
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2025 | 3 | 13:44 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 3 | 04:14 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |