Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.8% vs Monahan 53.9% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 52.9%
Defensive zone
McDavid 70.1%
Neutral zone
McDavid 51.3%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
McDavid
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
McDavid
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
McDavid
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (889)
54.5% (231)
-3.0%
Power Play
63.9% (36)
58.2% (67)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (86)
52.2% (23)
-1.0%
On power play, McDavid has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. McDavid is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
McDavid shoots left. Monahan is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (216).
Home / Away
McDavid
Monahan
Home
50.7% (513)
53.5% (144)
Away
53.2% (498)
56.5% (177)
By Period
McDavid
Monahan
P1
52.3%
52.5%
P2
51.6%
50.9%
P3
51.7%
60.8%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.5%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.9%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 00:30 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |