Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.9% vs Thompson 43.7% (+4.9%)
Offensive zone
Thompson 50.5%
Defensive zone
McDavid 51.6%
Neutral zone
Thompson 52.2%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
McDavid
Thompson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (715)
41.9% (597)
+5.8%
Power Play
51.9% (52)
50.5% (95)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
25.0% (12)
-2.8%
On even strength, McDavid has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. McDavid is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (282).
McDavid shoots left. Thompson is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (514).
Home / Away
McDavid
Thompson
Home
47.3% (387)
47.1% (367)
Away
48.1% (389)
38.0% (337)
By Period
McDavid
Thompson
P1
47.6%
44.2%
P2
50.0%
41.6%
P3
45.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
46.8%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
42.8%