Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.0% vs Seguin 55.4% (-5.2%)
Offensive zone
McDavid 72.5%
Defensive zone
McDavid 51.9%
Neutral zone
Seguin 51.4%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 57.7%
57.7%
42.3%
McDavid
Seguin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (803)
56.9% (478)
-5.3%
Power Play
50.0% (40)
57.4% (54)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (22)
51.3% (76)
-14.9%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. McDavid is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (249).
McDavid shoots left. Seguin is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
McDavid
Seguin
Home
51.8% (415)
57.4% (317)
Away
50.4% (450)
55.0% (291)
By Period
McDavid
Seguin
P1
47.5%
50.3%
P2
51.6%
60.4%
P3
55.5%
58.0%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
50.5%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.1%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.3%