Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.9% vs Seguin 51.8% (-5.2%)
Offensive zone
McDavid 60.3%
Defensive zone
McDavid 55.5%
Neutral zone
Seguin 53.4%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
McDavid
Seguin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (715)
54.8% (135)
-7.1%
Power Play
51.9% (52)
58.3% (24)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
26.7% (15)
-4.5%
On even strength, Seguin has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. McDavid is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (282).
McDavid shoots left. Seguin is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (139).
Home / Away
McDavid
Seguin
Home
47.3% (387)
47.4% (95)
Away
48.1% (389)
59.5% (79)
By Period
McDavid
Seguin
P1
47.6%
50.8%
P2
50.0%
57.1%
P3
45.0%
51.6%
Final 5 min
46.8%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
52.9%