Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.2% vs O'Reilly 56.4% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 70.0%
Defensive zone
Lazar 63.1%
Neutral zone
Lazar 50.6%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 70.0%
30.0%
70.0%
Lazar
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Lazar
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Lazar
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (232)
56.6% (1,064)
-5.3%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
60.4% (260)
-60.4%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (45)
54.0% (261)
-16.2%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +60.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Lazar is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (220).
Lazar shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (582).
Home / Away
Lazar
O'Reilly
Home
43.5% (131)
54.9% (801)
Away
53.7% (147)
58.7% (784)
By Period
Lazar
O'Reilly
P1
53.8%
58.0%
P2
50.5%
56.7%
P3
41.2%
55.4%
OT
100.0%
64.7%
Final 5 min
46.3%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
48.9%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 18:46 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |