Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 51.1% vs O'Reilly 55.2% (-4.3%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 60.8%
Defensive zone
Lazar 51.7%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 55.9%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Lazar
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (242)
56.1% (690)
-3.2%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
64.6% (96)
+35.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (27)
45.9% (109)
-12.6%
On power play, Lazar has a +35.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Lazar is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (202).
Lazar shoots right. O'Reilly is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (292).
Home / Away
Lazar
O'Reilly
Home
57.1% (119)
58.3% (408)
Away
47.1% (153)
53.6% (487)
By Period
Lazar
O'Reilly
P1
53.1%
57.7%
P2
52.2%
54.8%
P3
48.8%
55.2%
Final 5 min
42.0%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
51.5%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.8%