Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Lazar wins 61.6% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 58.1% vs O'Reilly 54.9% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 67.5%
Defensive zone
Lazar 83.9%
Neutral zone
Lazar 61.9%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 83.9%
83.9%
16.1%
Lazar
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Lazar
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
63.8% (174)
55.4% (826)
+8.4%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
57.9% (221)
-57.9%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (71)
50.4% (129)
+5.9%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +57.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Lazar is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Lazar shoots right. O'Reilly is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (514).
Home / Away
Lazar
O'Reilly
Home
63.3% (128)
55.8% (579)
Away
59.3% (118)
54.9% (597)
By Period
Lazar
O'Reilly
P1
64.6%
57.7%
P2
60.5%
54.8%
P3
59.0%
54.3%
Final 5 min
68.4%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
61.4%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 15:27 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |