Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +16.0% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 37.2% vs right-shot opponents — Compher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 37.5% vs Compher 51.3% (-16.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mercer 65.9%
Defensive zone
Compher 75.5%
Neutral zone
Mercer 59.1%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 61.4%
61.4%
38.6%
Mercer
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Mercer
Compher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mercer
1
0
Mercer
Compher
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
0
2
Mercer
Compher
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
35.4% (548)
52.2% (471)
-16.8%
Power Play
42.9% (35)
65.6% (61)
-22.7%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (7)
41.6% (125)
-41.6%
On penalty kill, Compher has a +41.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. Mercer is 37.2% vs right-shot opponents (183).
Mercer shoots right. Compher is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (175).
Home / Away
Mercer
Compher
Home
39.9% (283)
54.4% (362)
Away
31.3% (307)
47.8% (295)
By Period
Mercer
Compher
P1
37.7%
49.6%
P2
32.1%
53.6%
P3
37.7%
51.4%
OT
0.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
33.3%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
35.4%
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2022 | 3 | 11:39 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 2 | 11:14 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 00:34 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |