Dawson Mercer vs J.T. Compher

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

J.T. Compher holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Compher on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Mercer wins 39.7% vs right-shot opponents — Compher shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Mercer 39.9% vs Compher 47.8% (-8.6%)
H2H factor Compher leads 11-3 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone Mercer 93.1%
Defensive zone Mercer 74.8%
Neutral zone Mercer 81.6%
Result Dawson Mercer favored at 83.8%
83.8%
16.2%
Mercer Compher
Head-to-Head Record
3 - 11 (14 meetings)
3
11
Mercer Compher
Last 10: Mercer 2-8 Compher

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Mercer
3
2
Mercer Compher
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
0
4
Mercer Compher
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
0
5
Mercer Compher
5 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Mercer
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (1,412)
48.7% (5,716)
-9.6%
Power Play
41.1% (90)
52.6% (682)
-11.5%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (45)
41.9% (1,421)
-1.9%
On power play, Compher has a +11.5% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Compher shoots right. Mercer is 39.7% vs right-shot opponents (448).
Mercer shoots right. Compher is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,193).
Home / Away
Mercer
Compher
Home
40.0% (755)
49.1% (3,894)
Away
38.5% (792)
46.6% (3,925)
By Period
Mercer
Compher
P1
38.2%
49.1%
P2
39.2%
47.3%
P3
41.1%
47.4%
OT
0.0%
40.2%
Final 5 min
39.6%
46.2%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%
36.5%
39.2%
Compher
52.0%
55.5%
47.8%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Nov 24, 2025 3 10:12 Neutral J.T. Compher
Nov 24, 2025 3 03:56 Defensive J.T. Compher
Nov 24, 2025 2 15:55 Offensive J.T. Compher
Nov 24, 2025 2 08:11 Offensive Dawson Mercer
Nov 24, 2025 2 04:19 Defensive J.T. Compher
Nov 24, 2025 2 04:14 Offensive Dawson Mercer
Nov 22, 2023 2 16:15 Offensive J.T. Compher
Nov 22, 2023 2 13:38 Neutral J.T. Compher
Oct 28, 2022 1 17:22 Neutral J.T. Compher
Oct 28, 2022 1 12:10 Defensive J.T. Compher
Apr 14, 2022 3 11:39 Neutral J.T. Compher
Apr 14, 2022 2 11:14 Neutral J.T. Compher
Apr 14, 2022 1 00:34 Offensive Dawson Mercer