Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Compher on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Mercer wins 39.7% vs right-shot opponents — Compher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 39.9% vs Compher 47.8% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Compher leads 11-3 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Mercer 93.1%
Defensive zone
Mercer 74.8%
Neutral zone
Mercer 81.6%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 83.8%
83.8%
16.2%
Mercer
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
11
(14 meetings)
3
11
Mercer
Compher
Last 10: Mercer 2-8 Compher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mercer
3
2
Mercer
Compher
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
0
4
Mercer
Compher
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
0
5
Mercer
Compher
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (1,412)
48.7% (5,716)
-9.6%
Power Play
41.1% (90)
52.6% (682)
-11.5%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (45)
41.9% (1,421)
-1.9%
On power play, Compher has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. Mercer is 39.7% vs right-shot opponents (448).
Mercer shoots right. Compher is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,193).
Home / Away
Mercer
Compher
Home
40.0% (755)
49.1% (3,894)
Away
38.5% (792)
46.6% (3,925)
By Period
Mercer
Compher
P1
38.2%
49.1%
P2
39.2%
47.3%
P3
41.1%
47.4%
OT
0.0%
40.2%
Final 5 min
39.6%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
39.2%
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2025 | 3 | 10:12 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 3 | 03:56 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 15:55 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 08:11 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 04:19 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 04:14 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 16:15 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 13:38 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 1 | 17:22 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 1 | 12:10 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 3 | 11:39 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 2 | 11:14 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 00:34 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |