Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 41.4% vs right-shot opponents — Compher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 43.3% vs Compher 45.6% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mercer 58.6%
Defensive zone
Compher 55.9%
Neutral zone
Mercer 54.5%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Mercer
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Mercer
Compher
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
0
1
Mercer
Compher
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (212)
45.8% (847)
-4.8%
Power Play
35.7% (14)
40.8% (49)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (11)
41.9% (117)
-5.5%
On penalty kill, Compher has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. Mercer is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (58).
Mercer shoots right. Compher is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (273).
Home / Away
Mercer
Compher
Home
45.2% (126)
45.1% (519)
Away
35.1% (111)
45.1% (494)
By Period
Mercer
Compher
P1
34.5%
45.8%
P2
43.4%
46.2%
P3
45.8%
43.2%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.9%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
40.5%
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
45.1%