Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.9% vs 44.8%). Mercer wins 42.2% vs right-shot opponents — Compher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 46.3% vs Compher 45.2% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mercer 65.9%
Defensive zone
Compher 75.5%
Neutral zone
Compher 53.3%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 56.3%
56.3%
43.7%
Mercer
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Mercer
Compher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Compher
0
1
Mercer
Compher
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
0
1
Mercer
Compher
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (241)
45.5% (782)
-1.9%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
44.2% (77)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
70.0% (10)
41.7% (180)
+28.3%
On penalty kill, Mercer has a +28.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. Mercer is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (64).
Mercer shoots right. Compher is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (289).
Home / Away
Mercer
Compher
Home
41.7% (120)
44.0% (484)
Away
47.6% (145)
45.4% (555)
By Period
Mercer
Compher
P1
44.6%
46.2%
P2
45.4%
44.8%
P3
45.2%
44.2%
OT
0.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
48.6%
37.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
44.9%
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 16:15 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 13:38 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |