Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 34.9% vs right-shot opponents — Compher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 45.3% vs Compher 48.9% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mercer 78.3%
Defensive zone
Compher 50.1%
Neutral zone
Mercer 66.2%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 58.1%
58.1%
41.9%
Mercer
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Mercer
Compher
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
0
1
Mercer
Compher
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
0
1
Mercer
Compher
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (148)
49.3% (1,149)
-6.1%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
53.9% (204)
-13.9%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
43.6% (312)
-15.0%
On penalty kill, Compher has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. Mercer is 34.9% vs right-shot opponents (43).
Mercer shoots right. Compher is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (503).
Home / Away
Mercer
Compher
Home
39.0% (82)
50.7% (872)
Away
45.8% (83)
46.8% (793)
By Period
Mercer
Compher
P1
45.5%
49.9%
P2
44.0%
47.9%
P3
36.7%
49.0%
Final 5 min
36.6%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
42.4%
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2022 | 1 | 17:22 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 1 | 12:10 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |