Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +18.7% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 34.6% vs left-shot opponents — Miller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 37.5% vs Miller 53.8% (-18.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 50.5%
Defensive zone
Miller 80.6%
Neutral zone
Miller 53.7%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 80.6%
19.4%
80.6%
Mercer
Miller
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Mercer
Miller
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Mercer
Miller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Miller
Edge
Even Strength
35.4% (548)
55.5% (933)
-20.1%
Power Play
42.9% (35)
61.6% (73)
-18.7%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (7)
45.8% (227)
-45.8%
On penalty kill, Miller has a +45.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Miller shoots left. Mercer is 34.6% vs left-shot opponents (407).
Mercer shoots right. Miller is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (464).
Home / Away
Mercer
Miller
Home
39.9% (283)
53.5% (578)
Away
31.3% (307)
54.7% (655)
By Period
Mercer
Miller
P1
37.7%
58.3%
P2
32.1%
53.5%
P3
37.7%
50.1%
OT
0.0%
70.6%
Final 5 min
33.3%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
37.5%
35.4%
Miller
66.0%▬
66.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2022 | 3 | 17:58 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 3 | 09:59 | Defensive | Dawson Mercer |