Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +17.8% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 40.2% vs left-shot opponents — Miller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 43.3% vs Miller 57.6% (-17.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mercer 73.2%
Defensive zone
Mercer 76.3%
Neutral zone
Mercer 76.1%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 76.2%
76.2%
23.8%
Mercer
Miller
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Mercer
Miller
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
0
1
Mercer
Miller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
0
2
Mercer
Miller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Miller
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (212)
58.2% (823)
-17.2%
Power Play
35.7% (14)
58.2% (165)
-22.5%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (11)
58.9% (90)
-22.5%
On power play, Miller has a +22.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Miller shoots left. Mercer is 40.2% vs left-shot opponents (179).
Mercer shoots right. Miller is 60.2% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Home / Away
Mercer
Miller
Home
45.2% (126)
59.1% (558)
Away
35.1% (111)
57.3% (520)
By Period
Mercer
Miller
P1
34.5%
60.7%
P2
43.4%
57.5%
P3
45.8%
56.1%
OT
0.0%
73.3%
Final 5 min
47.9%
60.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
40.5%
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 10:56 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 07:49 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 17:45 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |