Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Miller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 45.3% vs Miller 54.5% (-12.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mercer 61.2%
Defensive zone
Miller 53.8%
Neutral zone
Mercer 55.8%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 61.2%
61.2%
38.8%
Mercer
Miller
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Mercer
Miller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
0
1
Mercer
Miller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Miller
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (148)
55.7% (589)
-12.5%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
60.9% (138)
-20.9%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
47.2% (159)
-18.6%
On power play, Miller has a +20.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Miller shoots left. Mercer is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (122).
Mercer shoots right. Miller is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (304).
Home / Away
Mercer
Miller
Home
39.0% (82)
56.1% (440)
Away
45.8% (83)
53.8% (446)
By Period
Mercer
Miller
P1
45.5%
52.3%
P2
44.0%
54.7%
P3
36.7%
57.2%
Final 5 min
36.6%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
42.4%
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2023 | 2 | 17:43 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |