Scouting Report
Dawson Mercer holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 34.9% vs right-shot opponents — Dach shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 45.3% vs Dach 41.9% (+4.1%)
Offensive zone
Mercer 52.8%
Defensive zone
Dach 58.1%
Neutral zone
Mercer 52.5%
Result
Kirby Dach favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Mercer
Dach
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Dach
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (148)
38.5% (213)
+4.7%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
33.3% (9)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
40.0% (5)
-11.4%
On penalty kill, Dach has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dach shoots right. Mercer is 34.9% vs right-shot opponents (43).
Mercer shoots right. Dach is 36.5% vs right-shot opponents (74).
Home / Away
Mercer
Dach
Home
39.0% (82)
38.8% (147)
Away
45.8% (83)
37.5% (80)
By Period
Mercer
Dach
P1
45.5%
36.3%
P2
44.0%
40.0%
P3
36.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
36.6%
27.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
42.4%
Dach
42.0%▬
42.0%
38.3%