Scouting Report
Kirby Dach holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Dach shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 41.8% vs Dach 45.1% (-1.9%)
Offensive zone
Mercer 56.4%
Defensive zone
Dach 54.3%
Neutral zone
Mercer 50.8%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Mercer
Dach
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Dach
Edge
Even Strength
38.8% (263)
39.8% (108)
-1.0%
Power Play
35.3% (17)
57.1% (7)
-21.8%
On power play, Dach has a +21.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dach shoots right. Mercer is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (100).
Mercer shoots right. Dach is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (30).
Home / Away
Mercer
Dach
Home
34.7% (144)
43.1% (72)
Away
43.2% (146)
37.2% (43)
By Period
Mercer
Dach
P1
32.7%
37.8%
P2
42.7%
41.7%
P3
42.2%
44.1%
Final 5 min
39.2%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
39.0%
Dach
42.0%▬
42.0%
40.9%