Scouting Report
Dawson Mercer holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 42.2% vs right-shot opponents — Dach shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 46.3% vs Dach 49.1% (+7.4%)
Offensive zone
Mercer 61.6%
Defensive zone
Dach 55.9%
Neutral zone
Mercer 56.7%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Mercer
Dach
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Dach
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (241)
37.5% (8)
+6.1%
On even strength, Mercer has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dach shoots right. Mercer is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (64).
Home / Away
Mercer
Dach
Home
41.7% (120)
0.0% (1)
Away
47.6% (145)
42.9% (7)
By Period
Mercer
Dach
P1
44.6%
0.0%
P2
45.4%
33.3%
P3
45.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.6%
66.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
44.9%
Dach
42.0%▬
42.0%
37.5%