Scouting Report
Dawson Mercer holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 42.2% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 46.3% vs Barzal 46.3% (+1.9%)
Offensive zone
Mercer 55.9%
Defensive zone
Mercer 53.1%
Neutral zone
Mercer 55.6%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Mercer
Barzal
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (241)
43.0% (114)
+0.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Mercer is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (64).
Mercer shoots right. Barzal is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (16).
Home / Away
Mercer
Barzal
Home
41.7% (120)
35.8% (53)
Away
47.6% (145)
49.2% (61)
By Period
Mercer
Barzal
P1
44.6%
44.2%
P2
45.4%
38.5%
P3
45.2%
46.9%
Final 5 min
48.6%
38.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
44.9%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
43.0%