Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +18.3% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 40.2% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 43.3% vs Sturm 57.1% (-18.3%)
Offensive zone
Mercer 60.9%
Defensive zone
Sturm 81.6%
Neutral zone
Sturm 63.7%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 61.5%
38.5%
61.5%
Mercer
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (212)
62.1% (356)
-21.1%
Power Play
35.7% (14)
75.0% (4)
-39.3%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (11)
38.7% (62)
-2.3%
On power play, Sturm has a +39.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Mercer is 40.2% vs left-shot opponents (179).
Mercer shoots right. Sturm is 64.3% vs right-shot opponents (143).
Home / Away
Mercer
Sturm
Home
45.2% (126)
61.8% (191)
Away
35.1% (111)
56.3% (231)
By Period
Mercer
Sturm
P1
34.5%
58.0%
P2
43.4%
57.9%
P3
45.8%
60.6%
Final 5 min
47.9%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
40.5%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.8%