Scouting Report
Dawson Mercer holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 34.6% vs left-shot opponents — Gregor shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 37.5% vs Gregor 45.9% (+1.1%)
Offensive zone
Gregor 54.2%
Defensive zone
Gregor 54.8%
Neutral zone
Mercer 55.9%
Result
Noah Gregor favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Mercer
Gregor
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Gregor
Edge
Even Strength
35.4% (548)
33.3% (33)
+2.1%
Power Play
42.9% (35)
50.0% (2)
-7.1%
On power play, Gregor has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gregor shoots left. Mercer is 34.6% vs left-shot opponents (407).
Mercer shoots right. Gregor is 33.3% vs right-shot opponents (12).
Home / Away
Mercer
Gregor
Home
39.9% (283)
33.3% (15)
Away
31.3% (307)
35.0% (20)
By Period
Mercer
Gregor
P1
37.7%
33.3%
P2
32.1%
33.3%
P3
37.7%
35.7%
Final 5 min
33.3%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
35.4%
Gregor
48.0%▲
36.0%
34.3%