Scouting Report
Dawson Mercer holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 36.3% vs left-shot opponents — Gregor shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 41.8% vs Gregor 46.6% (+2.6%)
Offensive zone
Mercer 52.2%
Defensive zone
Mercer 52.2%
Neutral zone
Gregor 50.5%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Mercer
Gregor
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Gregor
Edge
Even Strength
38.8% (263)
37.5% (32)
+1.3%
Power Play
35.3% (17)
0.0% (1)
+35.3%
On power play, Mercer has a +35.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gregor shoots left. Mercer is 36.3% vs left-shot opponents (190).
Mercer shoots right. Gregor is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (10).
Home / Away
Mercer
Gregor
Home
34.7% (144)
37.5% (24)
Away
43.2% (146)
33.3% (9)
By Period
Mercer
Gregor
P1
32.7%
45.5%
P2
42.7%
23.1%
P3
42.2%
44.4%
Final 5 min
39.2%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
39.0%
Gregor
48.0%▲
36.0%
36.4%