Scouting Report
Noah Gregor holds a +16.6% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 40.2% vs left-shot opponents — Gregor shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 43.3% vs Gregor 50.5% (-16.6%)
Offensive zone
Gregor 50.5%
Defensive zone
Mercer 59.3%
Neutral zone
Mercer 55.3%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Mercer
Gregor
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Gregor
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (212)
57.1% (7)
-16.1%
On even strength, Gregor has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gregor shoots left. Mercer is 40.2% vs left-shot opponents (179).
Mercer shoots right. Gregor is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (5).
Home / Away
Mercer
Gregor
Home
45.2% (126)
50.0% (2)
Away
35.1% (111)
60.0% (5)
By Period
Mercer
Gregor
P1
34.5%
75.0%
P2
43.4%
0.0%
P3
45.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
40.5%
Gregor
48.0%▲
36.0%
57.1%